Here’s Why BTC Could Rally If It Clears This Key Hurdle

coinedict

Bitcoin price is recovering losses and trading above $40,000 against the US Dollar. BTC is likely to accelerate higher if there is a clear break above the 100 hourly SMA at $42,000.

Bitcoin is showing signs of a decent recovery above the $40,000 level.
The price is now facing resistance near $42,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $42,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
The pair is likely to start a strong rally if it settles above $42,000 and the 100 hourly SMA.

Bitcoin Price Starts Recovery
Bitcoin remained stable above the $36,500 and $38,000 support levels. BTC extended its recovery wave above the $40,000 resistance level and moved into a short-term positive zone.
There was a clear break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the last key decline from the $45,774 swing high to $29,748 swing low. Moreover, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $42,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.
The pair is now facing resistance near $42,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. The 76.4% Fib retracement level of the last key decline from the $45,774 swing high to $29,748 swing low is also acting as a resistance.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
A clear break above the $42,000 zone and the 100 hourly simple moving average could open the doors for a larger rally. An immediate resistance is near the $43,200 level. The next major resistance is near the $45,775 level. A close above the $45,775 level could set the pace for a move towards the $48,000 resistance zone.
Fresh Drop in BTC?
If bitcoin fails to clear the $42,000 resistance, there is a risk of a fresh decline. An initial support on the downside is near the $40,000 level.
The first major support is now forming near the $38,000 zone. A downside break below the $38,000 support could start a fresh decline towards the $35,000 support zone in the near term.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly losing pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $40,000, followed by $38,000.
Major Resistance Levels – $42,000, $43,200 and $45,775.

bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) $ 67,471.08
ethereum
Ethereum (ETH) $ 2,640.58
tether
Tether (USDT) $ 0.999806
bnb
BNB (BNB) $ 598.21
solana
Solana (SOL) $ 167.27
usd-coin
USDC (USDC) $ 1.00
xrp
XRP (XRP) $ 0.543432
staked-ether
Lido Staked Ether (STETH) $ 2,639.57
dogecoin
Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.144548
tron
TRON (TRX) $ 0.158343
the-open-network
Toncoin (TON) $ 5.23
cardano
Cardano (ADA) $ 0.363899
avalanche-2
Avalanche (AVAX) $ 27.95
wrapped-steth
Wrapped stETH (WSTETH) $ 3,120.98
shiba-inu
Shiba Inu (SHIB) $ 0.000018
wrapped-bitcoin
Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) $ 67,342.04
weth
WETH (WETH) $ 2,640.28
chainlink
Chainlink (LINK) $ 11.85
bitcoin-cash
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) $ 362.83
polkadot
Polkadot (DOT) $ 4.40
uniswap
Uniswap (UNI) $ 7.86
dai
Dai (DAI) $ 1.00
near
NEAR Protocol (NEAR) $ 4.77
aptos
Aptos (APT) $ 10.87
leo-token
LEO Token (LEO) $ 6.07
sui
Sui (SUI) $ 2.01
litecoin
Litecoin (LTC) $ 70.70
wrapped-eeth
Wrapped eETH (WEETH) $ 2,774.95
pepe
Pepe (PEPE) $ 0.000010
bittensor
Bittensor (TAO) $ 554.23
internet-computer
Internet Computer (ICP) $ 8.04
fetch-ai
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) $ 1.39
kaspa
Kaspa (KAS) $ 0.132885
monero
Monero (XMR) $ 157.08
ethereum-classic
Ethereum Classic (ETC) $ 19.37
stellar
Stellar (XLM) $ 0.095840
polygon-ecosystem-token
POL (ex-MATIC) (POL) $ 0.372078
blockstack
Stacks (STX) $ 1.83
first-digital-usd
First Digital USD (FDUSD) $ 0.999145
whitebit
WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) $ 17.85
ethena-usde
Ethena USDe (USDE) $ 1.00
immutable-x
Immutable (IMX) $ 1.54
dogwifcoin
dogwifhat (WIF) $ 2.52
okb
OKB (OKB) $ 40.15
arbitrum
Arbitrum (ARB) $ 0.594388
filecoin
Filecoin (FIL) $ 3.88
aave
Aave (AAVE) $ 153.43
optimism
Optimism (OP) $ 1.72
crypto-com-chain
Cronos (CRO) $ 0.077880
injective-protocol
Injective (INJ) $ 21.38