Here’s Why BTC Could Rally If It Clears This Key Hurdle

Bitcoin price is recovering losses and trading above $40,000 against the US Dollar. BTC is likely to accelerate higher if there is a clear break above the 100 hourly SMA at $42,000.

Bitcoin is showing signs of a decent recovery above the $40,000 level.
The price is now facing resistance near $42,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $42,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
The pair is likely to start a strong rally if it settles above $42,000 and the 100 hourly SMA.

Bitcoin Price Starts Recovery
Bitcoin remained stable above the $36,500 and $38,000 support levels. BTC extended its recovery wave above the $40,000 resistance level and moved into a short-term positive zone.
There was a clear break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the last key decline from the $45,774 swing high to $29,748 swing low. Moreover, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $42,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.
The pair is now facing resistance near $42,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. The 76.4% Fib retracement level of the last key decline from the $45,774 swing high to $29,748 swing low is also acting as a resistance.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
A clear break above the $42,000 zone and the 100 hourly simple moving average could open the doors for a larger rally. An immediate resistance is near the $43,200 level. The next major resistance is near the $45,775 level. A close above the $45,775 level could set the pace for a move towards the $48,000 resistance zone.
Fresh Drop in BTC?
If bitcoin fails to clear the $42,000 resistance, there is a risk of a fresh decline. An initial support on the downside is near the $40,000 level.
The first major support is now forming near the $38,000 zone. A downside break below the $38,000 support could start a fresh decline towards the $35,000 support zone in the near term.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly losing pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $40,000, followed by $38,000.
Major Resistance Levels – $42,000, $43,200 and $45,775.

bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) $ 104,006.87
ethereum
Ethereum (ETH) $ 2,595.51
tether
Tether (USDT) $ 1.00
xrp
XRP (XRP) $ 2.43
bnb
BNB (BNB) $ 657.98
solana
Solana (SOL) $ 172.83
usd-coin
USDC (USDC) $ 1.00
dogecoin
Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.227376
cardano
Cardano (ADA) $ 0.784340
tron
TRON (TRX) $ 0.276770
staked-ether
Lido Staked Ether (STETH) $ 2,590.42
wrapped-bitcoin
Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) $ 103,957.85
sui
Sui (SUI) $ 3.88
wrapped-steth
Wrapped stETH (WSTETH) $ 3,119.17
chainlink
Chainlink (LINK) $ 16.36
avalanche-2
Avalanche (AVAX) $ 23.94
stellar
Stellar (XLM) $ 0.297167
shiba-inu
Shiba Inu (SHIB) $ 0.000015
hyperliquid
Hyperliquid (HYPE) $ 26.67
hedera-hashgraph
Hedera (HBAR) $ 0.200512
leo-token
LEO Token (LEO) $ 8.85
bitcoin-cash
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) $ 399.92
the-open-network
Toncoin (TON) $ 3.11
litecoin
Litecoin (LTC) $ 100.48
polkadot
Polkadot (DOT) $ 4.87
usds
USDS (USDS) $ 1.00
weth
WETH (WETH) $ 2,595.10
monero
Monero (XMR) $ 337.91
pi-network
Pi Network (PI) $ 0.863448
wrapped-eeth
Wrapped eETH (WEETH) $ 2,768.95
bitget-token
Bitget Token (BGB) $ 5.01
pepe
Pepe (PEPE) $ 0.000014
binance-bridged-usdt-bnb-smart-chain
Binance Bridged USDT (BNB Smart Chain) (BSC-USD) $ 0.998974
ethena-usde
Ethena USDe (USDE) $ 1.00
coinbase-wrapped-btc
Coinbase Wrapped BTC (CBBTC) $ 103,994.86
whitebit
WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) $ 30.31
bittensor
Bittensor (TAO) $ 440.05
uniswap
Uniswap (UNI) $ 6.37
dai
Dai (DAI) $ 1.00
near
NEAR Protocol (NEAR) $ 2.93
aave
Aave (AAVE) $ 235.89
aptos
Aptos (APT) $ 5.40
okb
OKB (OKB) $ 53.70
ondo-finance
Ondo (ONDO) $ 0.994329
kaspa
Kaspa (KAS) $ 0.118883
jito-staked-sol
Jito Staked SOL (JITOSOL) $ 207.63
internet-computer
Internet Computer (ICP) $ 5.52
ethereum-classic
Ethereum Classic (ETC) $ 19.30
crypto-com-chain
Cronos (CRO) $ 0.101342
blackrock-usd-institutional-digital-liquidity-fund
BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL) $ 1.00